Simple answers to complex problems
Quote by Valerio Massimo Manfredi: “There are no simple answers to complex problems.”
Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers. – Erik Spiekermann
Of course, nobody had ever seen one, but they believed others had. Logicians call these types fallacies affirming the consequent and they are devilishly hard to root out because they arise from genuine observations. Yet when business analysts look at data, they too often mistake correlation for causality. One of the things that makes myths so attractive is that they are not only unknown, but unknowable. In his book, The Tipping Point , author Malcolm Gladwell makes the same mistake with regard to social epidemics—viral cascades of ideas that are elusively transferred from one person to another.
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16 HARD RIDDLES WITH SIMPLE ANSWERS
To cultivate a more nuanced, spacious perspective, start by challenging your convictions. Embracing complexity means learning to better manage tough emotions like fear and anger. Too many leaders default to looking at decisions as either-or: The answer is right or wrong, good or bad, win or lose. This binary thinking has a built-in limitation: Overrelying on any given solution eventually generates the opposite problem. A detailed plan to decentralize.
More precisely, the notion that there are simple answers to complex problems. The universe is complicated. Whether you are interested in the functioning of a cell, the ecosystem in Amazonia, the climate of the Earth or the solar dynamo, almost all of the systems and their impacts on our lives are complex and multi-faceted. It is natural for us to ask simple questions about these systems, and many of our greatest insights have come from the profound examination of such simple questions. However, the answers that have come back are never as simple. The answer in the real world is never "42". Yet collectively we keep acting as though there are simple answers.