Club of rome limits to growth

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club of rome limits to growth

The Limits to Growth by Donella H. Meadows

One of the most important environmental books of all time, which I actually read as millions others did in 1972, largely discredited by the establishment Pro-Growth industry. It was written by a group of several assembled thinkers--scientists and industrialists, working together, imagine that--of the time called The Club of Rome. It was translated into dozens of languages, and in 1979, some U. S. poll had it that while a third of this country was pro-growth, another third was actually anti-growth, consistent with E. P. Shumachers Small is Beautiful: Economics as if People Mattered, which everyone I knew then also read.

Heres a short summary of what it said:

1. If the limits to growth trends in world population, industrialization, pollution, food production, food production and resource depletion continue unchanged, the limits to growth on this planet will be reached sometime in the next 100 years;

2. It is possible to alert these growth trends and establish a condition of ecological and economic stability that is sustainable far into the future. The state of global equilibrium could be designed so that the basic material needs of each person on earth are satisfied and each person has an equal opportunity to realize his or her individual human potential;

3. If the world’s people decide to strive for the second outcome rather than the first, the sooner they begin working to attain it, the greater will be their chance for success.

The short story, 1972-2016: The economic growth people won and the planet lost.


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The Club of Rome and Limits To Growth: Achieving the Best Possible Future (2010)

The message of this book still holds today: The earth's interlocking resources – the global system of nature in which we all live – probably cannot support present .
Donella H. Meadows

Looking Back on the Limits of Growth

T he book Limits to Growth, which predicted our civilisation would probably collapse some time this century, has been criticised as doomsday fantasy since it was published. Limits to Growth was commissioned by a think tank called the Club of Rome. Called World3, this computer model was cutting edge. The task was very ambitious. The team tracked industrialisation, population, food, use of resources, and pollution. They modelled data up to , then developed a range of scenarios out to , depending on whether humanity took serious action on environmental and resource issues.

Recent research supports the conclusions of a controversial environmental study released 40 years ago: The world is on track for disaster. So says Australian physicist Graham Turner, who revisited perhaps the most groundbreaking academic work of the s, The Limits to Growth. Written by MIT researchers for an international think tank, the Club of Rome, the study used computers to model several possible future scenarios. The business-as-usual scenario estimated that if human beings continued to consume more than nature was capable of providing, global economic collapse and precipitous population decline could occur by Turner compared real-world data from to with the business-as-usual scenario. He found the predictions nearly matched the facts. Continue or Give a Gift.

The Limits to Growth LTG is a report [1] on the computer simulation of exponential economic and population growth with a finite supply of resources. Meadows , Dennis L. Behrens III , representing a team of 17 researchers. Since its publication, some 30 million copies of the book in 30 languages have been purchased. The study used the World3 computer model to simulate the consequence of interactions between the earth and human systems.

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In "The Limits to Growth" shocked the world. The authors looked into the future and sounded an alarm, for the first time showing the consequences of unchecked growth on a finite planet. Their book gained worldwide attention and became the cornerstone of a global debate on how to achieve a sustainable future. The Year Update brings data on overshoot and global ecological collapse to the present moment. It provides a short course in the World3 computer model, types of growth, and the various kinds of overshoot likely to occur in the current century. While it remains to be seen whether public policy will respond effectively and in time to problems such as climate change, this book makes a compelling case for the vital need for a Sustainability Revolution.

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5 COMMENTS

  1. Algernon C. says:

    The Limits to Growth

  2. Agrican C. says:

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  3. Dalmace V. says:

    Limits to Growth , a study of the patterns and dynamics of human presence on earth, pointed toward environmental and economic collapse within a century if "business as usual" continued.

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